India’s Westward Gaze and the Eastward Manipulation

India’s Westward Gaze and the Eastward Manipulation

At the recent Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) summit, India’s External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar made headlines for his pointed call to China: respect the SCO’s founding charter, particularly its anti-terror and anti-separatist agenda.

On the surface, his statement seemed firm, principled. But if you scratch even lightly beneath, a more complex and revealing picture emerges, not of a state being isolated, but one increasingly choosing to stand apart, while accusing others of encirclement.

A Familiar Pattern: Strategic Posturing, Regional Silence

India has increasingly projected the idea that China and Pakistan are colluding to “isolate” New Delhi in the region, whether in SAARC, through Belt and Road corridors, or trilateral dialogues like China-Pakistan-Afghanistan or China-Pakistan-Bangladesh. This narrative, however, masks a harder truth: India’s own actions are shrinking its room for credible leadership in South Asia.

Jaishankar’s SCO remarks come against a backdrop of diplomatic contradictions. For instance, India refused to sign two recent SCO joint declarations on  condemning Israeli strikes inside Iran. This stance raised eyebrows across member states. Meanwhile, India also declined to endorse the condemnation of the Jaffar Express terrorist attack in Pakistan, but quickly invoked regional support after the Pahalgam incident in Kashmir.

This issue-based engagement, or what the word may call “selective multilateralism”, is against sustainable diplomacy. It sends a signal that India wants to reap the benefits of regional forums without subscribing to their collective principles.

Multipolarity in Words, Military Blocs in Practice

India loves to speak the language of multipolarity, but often acts otherwise. While calling for a balanced world order, New Delhi has deepened military ties with the West, particularly through: QUAD, holding annual military drills like Malabar, joint operations under INDOPACOM, strategic dialogues within I2U2, and increased cooperation with AUKUS-aligned partners in the Indo-Pacific.

Let’s suppose if these alignments are about balancing China, they must also be recognized for what they are: bloc politics in action, India must acknowledge it. And when such alignments contrast so sharply with stated commitments to multipolarity and strategic autonomy, regional partners at initiatives like SCO takes note.

The China-Pakistan Equation: Is It Really About Isolation?

It’s convenient for Indian commentators to frame China’s South Asia engagements as part of a broader “Sino-Pak axis” designed to counterbalance India. But this framing is less analysis and more insecurity on part of India.

The fact is: China has filled a regional vacuum that India helped create. After India’s 2016 boycott of the SAARC summit post-Uri attack, multilateral cooperation in South Asia began to wither. India shifted its focus to BIMSTEC, a grouping that, by design, excludes Pakistan. That pivot, seen from the region, was a signal: India preferred selective engagement to regional consensus backed by its western alliances.

Meanwhile, China ramped up infrastructure, port access, energy corridors, and digital connectivity across South Asia. From Gwadar in Pakistan to Padma Bridge in Bangladesh, from hydropower in Nepal to rail investments in Sri Lanka, China’s footprint grew not certainly because of ideology, but because of opportunity.

As of 2024, China invested over $100 billion in South Asia through direct infrastructure and development projects. You can compare that to India’s own regional investments and the contrast is sharp and telling. India has only invested in proxy networks rather than mutual cooperation projects.

Regional Concerns: India’s Coercive Diplomacy

India’s challenges in the region are not just about geopolitics. They’re about India’s perceptions of power and how it is used.

Countries like Bangladesh and Nepal have expressed concerns about citizenship laws like the NRC and CAA, which have cross-border demographic implications. Water-sharing disputes, trade conditionalities, and electoral interference have added to a sense that India’s leadership comes with strings attached. This is not lost on regional partners who now view China’s economic overtures as more transactional, less politicized, and more predictable.

The SCO Moment: A Reflection of Strategic Misalignment

The SCO summit became more than a policy forum for India, it is a mirror. India’s attempt to frame itself as the principled regional power was undercut by its own record: skipping key statements that don’t align with its Western alliances, calling out others for terror sponsorship while allegedly funding proxies (as claimed by Canadian, Pakistani, and UK intelligence reports), advocating cooperation which only suits it, while practicing regional exclusion.

What India expects as a consequence? Regional dynamics are shifting and no one can pretend to be the only might any longer. And that’s the reason that India can surely meet silence, but not isolation because this is not how multilateral platforms like SCO work.

Final Thoughts: Earning Centrality, Not Demanding It

Power in the region today is less about size and slogans, and more about responsiveness, inclusivity, and consistency. China, for all its strategic assertiveness, has leaned into connectivity and development, while India, under Modi, has leaned into security maximalism and ideological politics.

The region is moving, not necessarily away from India, but toward cooperation that works. If India wishes to reclaim its centrality, it must earn it back, not by blaming others, but by rethinking how it leads.

SAT Commentary

SAT Commentaries, a collection of insightful social media threads on current events and social issues, featuring diverse perspectives from various authors.

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