Civil–Military Relations in Transition: Continuity, Change, and Strategic Stability in Pakistan

Civil–Military Relations in Transition: Continuity, Change, and Strategic Stability in Pakistan

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10

Janurary 2025

Background and Context:

Pakistan’s civil–military relations have long shaped the country’s political stability, democratic

development, and national security decision-making. Emerging from early security threats, regional

conflicts, and weak civilian institutional capacity, the military assumed a prominent role in governance,

producing a hybrid institutional framework marked by periods of cooperation, imbalance, and

recalibration. In recent years, this relationship entered a phase of heightened polarization following

political upheavals and leadership transitions, straining constitutional norms, deepening societal divisions,

and weakening public trust in state institutions.

 

This polarization complicated democratic governance and raised concerns over strategic coherence amid

evolving regional security challenges. The post-2025 security environment particularly the limited

Pakistan–India conflict marked a critical turning point. The crisis underscored the importance of alignment

between civilian leadership and military command, demonstrating how coordination, preparedness, and

restraint contribute to strategic stability and credible deterrence. It also triggered institutional learning

and reconciliation efforts, leading to improved public perceptions of the military and a cautious shift

toward functional cooperation.

 

The South Asia Times webinar, Civil–Military Relations in Transition: Continuity, Change, and Strategic

Stability in Pakistan, was convened to examine these developments through a historical and policy

oriented lens. Moving beyond polarized narratives, the discussion assessed whether recent coordination

reflects a durable civil–military operating norm or a contingent adjustment, while exploring future

pathways for constitutional balance, democratic stability, and long-term strategic coherence in Pakistan.

Key Takeaways

Historical Security Orientation: Pakistan’s civil–military relations developed within a security-centric

framework shaped by early conflicts, regional threats, and limited state capacity, embedding defense

priorities deeply into governance structures.

Institutional Continuity and Hybrid Governance: Military influence became institutionalized through

political instability and constitutional arrangements, resulting in a hybrid governance model that

continues to define state functioning.

Coordination over Confrontation: Recent trends suggest a shift toward functional coordination between

civilian and military institutions, particularly in security and crisis management domains.

Strategic Stability and Restrain: Post-2025 security developments highlighted improved institutional

alignment, operational preparedness, and restraint, reinforcing Pakistan’s deterrence posture.

Public Welfare as Legitimacy: The legitimacy of any governance arrangement ultimately depends on

public consent, citizen welfare, and the protection of territorial integrity.

Discussion Summary

Ms. Dilawaiz Tabessum, Lead Research Coordinator at SAT and co-host of the webinar, along with Kaiwan

Rad, Researcher opened the session by emphasizing the centrality of civil–military relations to Pakistan’s

political stability and democratic development. She noted that the objective of the discussion was to

examine continuity and change through an academic and policy-oriented lens, focusing on institutional

learning rather than historical blame.

Dr. Amna Mahmood, Dean, Faculty of Social Sciences and Humanities at Shifa Tameer-e-Millat University,

traced the historical foundations of Pakistan’s civil–military relations. She highlighted how early security

threats, Cold War alliances, and recurring political crises strengthened the military’s role in state affairs.

Dr. Amna emphasized that contemporary civil–military relations are structural in nature and operate

through coordination mechanisms, arguing that any governance model is viable if it ensures public welfare

and national cohesion.

Dr. Zia-ul-Haque Shamsi, Head of the Department of Strategic Studies at the National Defense University

and former Air Commodore of the Pakistan Air Force, focused on operational coordination and strategic

stability. He stressed the importance of alignment between political leadership and military command,

particularly during crises. Referring to recent security developments, he highlighted Pakistan’s emphasis

on preparedness with restraint, noting that responsible crisis management strengthens deterrence and

prevents escalation.

Closing Notes

The webinar reaffirmed that Pakistan’s civil–military relations are evolving rather than static, shaped by

historical continuity and gradual institutional adjustment. The discussion underscored that sustainable

democratic stability requires mutual respect, constitutional boundaries, and constructive engagement

between institutions. By prioritizing coordination over confrontation, Pakistan can strengthen governance

while maintaining strategic stability