Down The Line

The death of Sharif Osman Hadi marks the collapse of the 1971 Consensus, reshaping Bangladesh’s identity and triggering a strategic crisis for India.

The End of the 1971 Consensus

Sharif Osman Hadi’s death has become the symbolic burial of the 1971 Consensus that long structured India–Bangladesh relations. For a generation with no lived memory of the Liberation War, Hadi embodies a Second Independence, reframing 1971 as the start of Indian dominance rather than true sovereignty. His killing has accelerated Bangladesh’s rupture with India and exposed a deep strategic crisis across South Asia.

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How APS Redefined Pakistan’s Strategic Culture

How APS Redefined Pakistan’s Strategic Culture

APS was the moment Pakistan’s long-standing ambiguity on militancy collapsed. The murder of schoolchildren forced an organic securitization of terrorism, enabling extraordinary measures and a redefinition of the militant as an existential, illegitimate enemy.

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Before and After Panjshir: How Anti-Taliban Forces Are Adapting to a Long Insurgency

Before and After Panjshir: How Anti-Taliban Forces Are Adapting to a Long Insurgency

December 2025 marked a turning point in Afghanistan’s post-2021 resistance. Coordinated, intelligence-driven attacks across Kunduz and Badakhshan signaled that anti-Taliban forces have moved beyond symbolic defiance into a sustained campaign of urban-centric insurgency. Deprived of territory, external patrons, and conventional warfare options, groups like the NRF and AFF are adapting through mobility, information warfare, and selective strikes, pointing toward a long war defined by endurance rather than frontlines.

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The Internationalization of Domestic Security Events

The Internationalization of Domestic Security Events

The Bondi Beach attack illustrates a recurring global pattern: domestic crimes targeting Jewish communities are swiftly absorbed into transnational security frameworks. This acceleration often precedes verified attribution, reshaping diplomatic postures and weaponizing narratives at moments of heightened geopolitical contestation.

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The New Bollywood

The New Bollywood

Bollywood, once India’s most effective soft-power tool, is undergoing a dramatic ideological overhaul. Films like Dhurandhar and The Taj Story reflect a new cinematic nationalism rooted in historical revisionism, internal othering, and aggressive anti-Pakistan narratives, reshaping both India’s identity and its global cultural reach.

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The Taliban’s new fatwa banning foreign militancy signals a shift in doctrine, but rising regional attacks and ideological fractures raise questions about its enforceability.

Doctrine vs Reality: Can the Taliban Enforce Their Ban on Foreign Militants?

The Taliban’s new fatwa banning foreign militants has been hailed by officials in Kabul as a decisive theological shift. But rising attacks in the north, continued TTP operations, and mounting pressure from Washington expose a widening gap between doctrine and reality. As regional powers demand proof of enforcement, the decree risks becoming another symbolic gesture unless it translates into measurable action on the ground.

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An analysis of how the Taliban’s promised 2021 amnesty has collapsed into widespread arrests, killings, and repression, echoing historical patterns of Taliban rule.

A New Afghanistan, Old Methods

The Taliban’s 2021 promise of a general amnesty has collapsed into systematic arrests, disappearances, and killings—especially in Panjshir. Despite assurances of moderation, evidence from 2021–2025 shows a deliberate campaign to eliminate former officials, suppress dissent, and rule through fear, mirroring the Taliban’s historical patterns of coercion and violence.

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Oil, Ports, and Proxies: The Battle for Hadhramawt and the Red Sea

Oil, Ports, and Proxies: The Battle for Hadhramawt and the Red Sea

The expulsion of Saudi-backed forces from Hadhramawt by UAE-aligned proxies signals the collapse of the Riyadh-Abu Dhabi alliance. In Yemen and Sudan, Abu Dhabi leverages non-state actors to secure ports, resources, and influence, while Riyadh prioritizes state stability and territorial consolidation. The result: a regional realignment where Gulf unity gives way to fierce intra-Gulf competition.

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The End of Liberal Internationalism

The End of Liberal Internationalism

The 2025 U.S. National Security Strategy marks a decisive break from the post-1945 liberal order, replacing globalism and multilateralism with a neo-Westphalian focus on sovereign nation-states, fortified borders, and exclusionary spheres of influence. It signals America’s retreat from global leadership and the return of great-power rivalry.

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